This page has economic forecasts for Syria including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the Syria economy. Property rights have been violated frequently during the civil war. Functioning labor markets do not exist in many areas. Consumers will be hit hard by higher prices for imported foodstuffs that form an important part of the region's diet. Assad’s regime, supported by Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah, has largely defeated the fractured armed opposition. Fiscal policy has focused on protecting the regime and maintaining the military’s fighting capacity. Political instability and repression, further exacerbated by years of economic mismanagement, have caused the economy to collapse. The Assad family has ruled Syria since Hafez al-Assad’s military coup in 1970. In June 2020, the World Bank released a Regional Economic and Social Impact Assessment, titled The Fallout of War, which analyzed the impact of the Syrian conflict on the Mashreq region quantitatively, and identified ways in which it had been manifested. Corruption is also widespread in opposition-held areas. As the conflict in Syria approaches its 10th anniversary, a holistic political settlement encompassing the entirety of the country is unlikely in the near to medium term. The president, Bashar al-Assad, looks set to win a decisive victory in the 2021 presidential election, despite facing criticism over the economy, with increasingly frequent protests in some regime-held areas. Read more about Syria Economy. The losses incurred by Syria are great, but it is not false hope to look toward recovery and further strengthening of the country’s socio‐economic fundamentals beyond its pre‐war situation. We do not expect the election to be free, fair or legitimate. This is bad news for Lebanese construction firms that were angling for contracts for the reconstruction of Syria, a much-needed boost for the economy. Bashar al-Assad, who became President in 2000, started to privatize more sectors of the economy. Expropriations are commonplace. A brutal crackdown after 2011’s Arab Spring protests sparked an armed uprising against Assad that by 2012 had become a sectarian civil war between the predominantly Sunni rebels and the Alawite-dominated regime. Noneconomic costs are immeasurable. Published June 15, 2020 Updated Feb. 23, 2021 BEIRUT, Lebanon — President Bashar al-Assad, who has mostly won Syria’s civil war, now faces an … Paul McLoughlin. The conflict has killed more than 500,000 Syrians and has driven nearly 5.5 million refugees out of the country. ... 24 February 2020. Even the distribution of basic state services and humanitarian aid is distorted by corruption. The conflict has killed more than 500,000 Syrians and has driven nearly 5.5 million refugees out of the country. Real GDP is expected to contract further in 2021 as private consumption falls. Syria’s Economic Meltdown By Elizabeth Tsurkov Executive Summary The Syrian economy is in a meltdown, with unprecedentedly rapid depreciation of the Syrian currency and a sharp rise in food prices, leading to widespread hunger throughout the country. The regime is clearly struggling to fill its coffers and is unable to halt Parliamentary elections were held in government-controlled areas in 2020. Parliamentary elections were held in government-controlled areas in 2020. © 2021 by The Heritage Foundation. The continuing civil war severely deters international trade and investment. Property Rights 42.5 Create a Graph using this measurement, Judicial Effectiveness 19.7 Create a Graph using this measurement, Government Integrity 25.9 Create a Graph using this measurement. 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